P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Will Warbrick
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
52.5 PCMO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
52.5
L5
57.0
L10
50.3
High
82
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
47PARMar 0564SGIMar 1470BRIMar 2046NQLMar 2847PENApr 0352WARApr 1178CBRApr 1738SOUApr 2529DOLMay 0141WSTMay 1070PARMay 1633CBYMay 2245SYDMay 3082NEWJun 0547CBRJun 2175MANJun 2767GLDJul 1214SYDJul 17?NQLJul 3052.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Will146.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Will3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Will4.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Will0.9
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Will0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Will0.6
NQL5.8
Offloads
Will0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Will52.5
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Post Contact Metres

610.3per game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium50.0(2)+1.7
Everywhere else48.3(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)64.3(3)+16.7
Dry games47.7(71)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.