P
Current to Round 21, yesterday
MEL
Will Warbrick
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
0.5 TO —U —
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
1.2
L10
0.9
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1PARMar 051SGIMar 140BRIMar 204NQLMar 280PENApr 030WARApr 111CBRApr 170SOUApr 250DOLMay 012WSTMay 100PARMay 160CBYMay 221SYDMay 30☂1NEWJun 053CBRJun 211MANJun 271GLDJul 12☂0SYDJul 17?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 20.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Will146.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Will3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Will4.9
NQL338.9
Tries
Will0.9
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Will0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Will0.6
NQL5.8
Offloads
Will0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Will52.5
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tries

4.5per game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tries

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.0(2)+1.3
Everywhere else0.7(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tries

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)-0.1
Dry games0.7(71)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.