P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Joe Chan
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
24% (4/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.4
L5
0.6
L10
1.0
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1PARMar 051SGIMar 146BRIMar 202NQLMar 282PENApr 031WARApr 110CBRApr 171SOUApr 250DOLMay 015WSTMay 100PARMay 161CBYMay 220SYDMay 30☂1NEWJun 051CBRJun 210MANJun 271GLDJul 12☂?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Joe82.3
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Joe1.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Joe21.1
NQL338.9
Tries
Joe0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Joe0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Joe0.4
NQL5.8
Offloads
Joe0.4
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Joe29.5
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.3(3)+1.1
Everywhere else1.3(47)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-1.0
Dry games1.4(47)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.