P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Harry Grant
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.7
L5
1.6
L10
1.7
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4PARMar 054SGIMar 140BRIMar 201NQLMar 280PENApr 030WARApr 112CBRApr 172SOUApr 251DOLMay 012WSTMay 102PARMay 163SYDMay 30☂1NEWJun 054CBRJun 212MANJun 272GLDJul 12☂0SYDJul 170SOUJul 24?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Harry55.3
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Harry1.7
NQL36.2
Tackles
Harry38.4
NQL338.9
Tries
Harry0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Harry0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Harry0.5
NQL5.8
Offloads
Harry0.6
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Harry10.6
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.3(3)-1.5
Everywhere else1.8(118)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(7)-0.2
Dry games1.8(114)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.