Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Josh King

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

11.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

47% (9/19)

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Avg

11.4

12.8

L10

12.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joshvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

97.7Run Metres1749.4

0.7Tackle Breaks33.3

32.4Tackles339.1

0.1Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.6Offloads9.1

35.6Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Josh97.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Josh0.7

WST33.3

Tackles

Josh32.4

WST339.1

Tries

Josh0.1

WST5.3

Try Assists

Josh0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Josh0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Josh0.6

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Josh35.6

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium10.7(7)+0.3

Everywhere else10.4(136)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(10)+0.6

Dry games10.4(133)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.