Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Josh King

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

0.5 OFLO —U —

Hit rate

47% (9/19)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.6

1.0

L10

0.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joshvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

97.7Run Metres1749.4

0.7Tackle Breaks33.3

32.4Tackles339.1

0.1Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.6Offloads9.1

35.6Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Josh97.7

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Josh0.7

WST33.3

Tackles

Josh32.4

WST339.1

Tries

Josh0.1

WST5.3

Try Assists

Josh0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Josh0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Josh0.6

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Josh35.6

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Offloads

9.1per game · league avg 9.8

#13 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Offloads

At CommBank Stadium0.6(7)+0.1

Everywhere else0.5(136)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(10)-0.1

Dry games0.5(133)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.