P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Ativalu Lisati
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
114.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
114.5
L5
93.8
L10
114.5
High
172
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
152PARMar 05114SGIMar 14110DOLMay 01172WSTMay 10128PARMay 1678CBYMay 22116SYDMay 30☂113NEWJun 0575CBRJun 2187MANJun 27?NQLJul 30114.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Ativalu114.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Ativalu1.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Ativalu38.7
NQL338.9
Tries
Ativalu0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Ativalu0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Ativalu0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Ativalu0.4
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Ativalu45.0
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium91.0(2)+20.4
Everywhere else70.6(26)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)38.7(3)-37.4
Dry games76.1(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.