P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Ativalu Lisati
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
53.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
53.4
L5
40.4
L10
53.4
High
79
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
74PARMar 0567SGIMar 1450DOLMay 0179WSTMay 1062PARMay 1635CBYMay 2248SYDMay 30☂36NEWJun 0543CBRJun 2140MANJun 27?NQLJul 3053.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Ativalu114.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Ativalu1.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Ativalu38.7
NQL338.9
Tries
Ativalu0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Ativalu0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Ativalu0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Ativalu0.4
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Ativalu45.0
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium34.0(2)+2.1
Everywhere else31.9(26)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)16.0(3)-18.0
Dry games34.0(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.