P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Ativalu Lisati
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
45.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
45.0
L5
37.4
L10
45.0
High
69
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
69PARMar 0548SGIMar 1440DOLMay 0159WSTMay 1047PARMay 1632CBYMay 2250SYDMay 30☂42NEWJun 0524CBRJun 2139MANJun 27?NQLJul 3045.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Ativalu114.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Ativalu1.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Ativalu38.7
NQL338.9
Tries
Ativalu0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Ativalu0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Ativalu0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Ativalu0.4
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Ativalu45.0
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Post Contact Metres

610.3per game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium26.5(2)-1.3
Everywhere else27.8(26)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)16.7(3)-12.4
Dry games29.1(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.