Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Jonah Pezet

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

3.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

57% (4/7)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.0

3.4

L10

3.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jonahvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

31.4Run Metres1749.4

0.1Tackle Breaks33.3

14.7Tackles339.1

0.4Tries5.3

0.7Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

0.7Offloads9.1

3.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jonah31.4

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jonah0.1

WST33.3

Tackles

Jonah14.7

WST339.1

Tries

Jonah0.4

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jonah0.7

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jonah0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Jonah0.7

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jonah3.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Points

30.2per game · league avg 23.5

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At CommBank Stadium2.2(6)+0.8

Everywhere else1.4(19)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games1.6(25)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.