P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Alec MacDonald
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
29.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
53% (8/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
29.1
L5
34.2
L10
29.9
High
47
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0PARMar 0536BRIMar 2030NQLMar 2837PENApr 0334WARApr 1120CBRApr 1730SOUApr 2527CBYMay 2226SYDMay 30☂25NEWJun 0535CBRJun 2125MANJun 2747GLDJul 12☂39SYDJul 1725SOUJul 24?NQLJul 3029.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Alec59.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Alec0.3
NQL36.2
Tackles
Alec24.7
NQL338.9
Tries
Alec0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Alec0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Alec0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Alec0.1
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Alec22.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium39.0(4)+13.0
Everywhere else26.0(81)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)31.6(5)+5.3
Dry games26.3(80)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.