P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Bronson Garlick
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
18.5 FPO U
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
18.3
L5
16.6
L10
18.4
High
35
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
26DOLMar 089SYDMar 1314WSTMar 2122CBYApr 0319SGIApr 1835MELApr 2511NEWMay 0331CROMay 0922DOLMay 1520MANJun 040BRIJun 1110MELJul 24?NQLJul 3018.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Bronson16.7
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Bronson0.2
NQL36.2
Tackles
Bronson19.7
NQL338.9
Tries
Bronson0.0
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Bronson0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Bronson0.0
NQL5.8
Offloads
Bronson0.1
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Bronson3.6
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium35.0(2)+18.5
Everywhere else16.5(67)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)14.8(4)-2.4
Dry games17.2(65)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.