Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

MEL

Jack Howarth

Melbourne Storm · @ WST

1.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.3

0.8

L10

0.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

132.1Run Metres1749.4

2.9Tackle Breaks33.3

12.6Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.2Try Assists4.6

0.3Line Breaks6.6

0.8Offloads9.1

48.1Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jack132.1

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jack2.9

WST33.3

Tackles

Jack12.6

WST339.1

Tries

Jack0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jack0.2

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jack0.3

WST6.6

Offloads

Jack0.8

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jack48.1

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Points

30.2per game · league avg 23.5

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At CommBank Stadium0.0(2)-0.9

Everywhere else0.9(51)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(5)

Dry games0.8(48)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.