Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBY

Connor Tracey

Canterbury Bulldogs · @ MEL

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.6

L10

2.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Connorvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

190.7Run Metres1701.7

2.8Tackle Breaks33.0

2.6Tackles338.8

0.2Tries4.4

0.3Try Assists3.6

0.5Line Breaks6.3

1.1Offloads9.9

41.0Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Connor190.7

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Connor2.8

MEL33.0

Tackles

Connor2.6

MEL338.8

Tries

Connor0.2

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Connor0.3

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Connor0.5

MEL6.3

Offloads

Connor1.1

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Connor41.0

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6

#14 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park2.8(4)-1.7

Everywhere else4.5(115)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.6(10)+0.2

Dry games4.4(109)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.