AFL
PProjectPunt
Paul Curtis
Paul Curtis
North Melbourne · vs STK
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
0.6
L10
1.2
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2PORMar 152WCEMar 221ESSMar 282CARApr 031BRIApr 112RICApr 193GWSApr 261GEEMay 021SYDMay 092ADEMay 161GCSMay 230FREJun 061WCEJun 130COLJul 101MELJul 18?STKJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Paul12.2
STK379.3
Kicks
Paul8.1
STK220.4
Marks
Paul3.9
STK100.9
Tackles
Paul3.5
STK50.0
Clearances
Paul1.0
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Paul2.1
STK52.1
Contested poss.
Paul5.0
STK123.7
Goals
Paul1.9
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.2(28)-0.1
Everywhere else1.2(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(3)-0.2
Dry games1.2(54)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.