Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBY

Bailey Hayward

Canterbury Bulldogs · @ BRI

2.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.2

2.6

L10

2.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Baileyvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

16.1Run Metres1842.7

0.3Tackle Breaks31.7

39.1Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.0Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

3.1Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Bailey16.1

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Bailey0.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Bailey39.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Bailey0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Bailey0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Bailey0.0

BRI4.7

Offloads

Bailey0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Bailey3.1

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium3.4(7)-0.7

Everywhere else4.1(57)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.1(7)+0.1

Dry games4.0(57)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.