PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
SYDRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00CBY
SCStephen CrichtonTA0.5LGLachlan GalvinTA0.5MBMatt BurtonTA0.5BXBronson XerriTA0.5CTConnor TraceyTA0.5VKViliame KikauTA0.5JPJacob PrestonTA0.5RMReed MahoneyTA0.5JSJaeman SalmonTA0.5ETEnari TualaTA0.5BHBailey HaywardTA0.5KMKurt MannTA0.5
SWSam WalkerTA1.5JTJames TedescoTA0.5RTRobert ToiaTA0.5HSHugo SavalaTA0.5DCDaly Cherry-EvansTA0.5BS

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

SCStephen Crichton0.5LGLachlan Galvin0.5MBMatt Burton0.5BXBronson Xerri0.5CTConnor Tracey0.5VKViliame Kikau0.5JPJacob Preston0.5RMReed Mahoney
Billy Smith
TA
0.5
MNMark NawaqanitawaseTA0.5
RRReece RobsonTA0.5
BIBenaiah IoeluTA0.5
CRCody RamseyTA0.5
FPFetalaiga PaugaTA0.5
DTDaniel TupouTA0.5
0.5
JSJaeman Salmon0.5
ETEnari Tuala0.5
BHBailey Hayward0.5
KMKurt Mann0.5
SWSam Walker1.5
JTJames Tedesco0.5
RTRobert Toia0.5
HSHugo Savala0.5
DCDaly Cherry-Evans0.5
BSBilly Smith0.5
MNMark Nawaqanitawase0.5
RRReece Robson0.5
BIBenaiah Ioelu0.5
CRCody Ramsey0.5
FPFetalaiga Pauga0.5
DTDaniel Tupou0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
BH
Bailey Hayward
Canterbury Bulldogs · @ SYD
0.5 TAO —U —
Hit rate
11% (2/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.1
L5
0.2
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0SGIFeb 280CBRMar 19☂0NEWMar 280SOUApr 030PENApr 090PARApr 191BRIApr 240NQLMay 010DOLMay 070CROMay 150MELMay 220WSTMay 300PARJun 080MANJun 201GLDJun 260CBRJul 110WSTJul 180WARJul 250MELJul 31?SYDAug 070.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsAllianz Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 2.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Baileyvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game
15.3
7
Run Metresunfavorable
6
1523.4
Bailey 15.3/game
SYD concedes 1523.4/game · league avg 1691.0
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
12
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
0
26.7
Bailey 0.3/game
SYD concedes 26.7/game · league avg 32.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
39.0
96
Tacklesfavorable
63
350.5
Bailey 39.0/game
SYD concedes 350.5/game · league avg 345.0
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
13
3.4
Bailey 0.0/game
SYD concedes 3.4/game · league avg 4.1
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
56
Try Assistsunfavorable
13
2.9
Bailey 0.1/game
SYD concedes 2.9/game · league avg 3.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
13
4.2
Bailey 0.0/game
SYD concedes 4.2/game · league avg 5.1
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
16
Offloadsunfavorable
38
9.0
Bailey 0.1/game
SYD concedes 9.0/game · league avg 9.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.9
6
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
6
476.8
Bailey 2.9/game
SYD concedes 476.8/game · league avg 545.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Bailey15.3
7
SYD1523.4
6
Bailey 15.3/game
SYD concedes 1523.4/game · league avg 1691.0
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Bailey0.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Try Assists

2.9per game · league avg 3.5
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Try Assists

At Allianz Stadium0.0(2)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(63)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(7)
Dry games0.1(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs SYD · Try Assists

Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-32%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-30NQLTom Chester0.10-100%
07-30NQLJaxon Purdue0.52+344%
07-30NQLBraidon Burns0.10-100%
07-30NQLZac Laybutt0.10-100%
07-30NQLMurray Taulagi0.10-100%
07-30NQLJake Clifford0.70-100%
07-30NQLScott Drinkwater0.90-100%
07-30NQLThomas Mikaele0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bailey's. Computed from this app's own records.
12
SYD26.7
0
Bailey 0.3/game
SYD concedes 26.7/game · league avg 32.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesfavorable
Bailey39.0
96
SYD350.5
63
Bailey 39.0/game
SYD concedes 350.5/game · league avg 345.0
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Bailey0.0
0
SYD3.4
13
Bailey 0.0/game
SYD concedes 3.4/game · league avg 4.1
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Bailey0.1
56
SYD2.9
13
Bailey 0.1/game
SYD concedes 2.9/game · league avg 3.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Bailey0.0
0
SYD4.2
13
Bailey 0.0/game
SYD concedes 4.2/game · league avg 5.1
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsunfavorable
Bailey0.1
16
SYD9.0
38
Bailey 0.1/game
SYD concedes 9.0/game · league avg 9.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Bailey2.9
6
SYD476.8
6
Bailey 2.9/game
SYD concedes 476.8/game · league avg 545.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded