Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WAR

Adam Pompey

New Zealand Warriors · @ BRI

13.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

46% (6/13)

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Avg

13.2

14.2

L10

14.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Adamvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

110.0Run Metres1842.7

1.5Tackle Breaks31.7

12.1Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

0.2Line Breaks4.7

0.6Offloads10.1

38.8Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Adam110.0

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Adam1.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Adam12.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Adam0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Adam0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Adam0.2

BRI4.7

Offloads

Adam0.6

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Adam38.8

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium13.4(13)+3.1

Everywhere else10.3(107)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.9(9)-0.8

Dry games10.7(111)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.