Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WAR

Adam Pompey

New Zealand Warriors · @ BRI

1.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

54% (7/13)

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Avg

1.5

1.2

L10

1.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Adamvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

110.0Run Metres1842.7

1.5Tackle Breaks31.7

12.1Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.3Try Assists3.2

0.2Line Breaks4.7

0.6Offloads10.1

38.8Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Adam110.0

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Adam1.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Adam12.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Adam0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Adam0.3

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Adam0.2

BRI4.7

Offloads

Adam0.6

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Adam38.8

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium3.4(13)+1.5

Everywhere else1.9(107)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(9)-0.6

Dry games2.1(111)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.