Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WAR

Adam Pompey

New Zealand Warriors · @ SGI

12.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

54% (7/13)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.1

14.0

L10

11.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Adamvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

110.0Run Metres1917.7

1.5Tackle Breaks30.6

12.1Tackles343.1

0.2Tries5.2

0.3Try Assists3.8

0.2Line Breaks6.0

0.6Offloads8.5

38.8Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Adam110.0

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Adam1.5

SGI30.6

Tackles

Adam12.1

SGI343.1

Tries

Adam0.2

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Adam0.3

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Adam0.2

SGI6.0

Offloads

Adam0.6

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Adam38.8

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackles

343.1per game · league avg 345.6

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At WIN Stadium10.0(3)-0.6

Everywhere else10.6(117)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)10.7(9)+0.1

Dry games10.6(111)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.