P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Kurt Capewell
New Zealand Warriors · @ SGI
42.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
42.1
L5
41.6
L10
42.1
High
61
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
48SYDMar 0640GLDApr 1841DOLApr 2532PARMay 0225BRIMay 1761DOLJun 2733SGIJul 1857CBYJul 25?SGIJul 3142.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI
Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (6%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Kurt81.4
SGI1917.7
Tackle Breaks
Kurt1.1
SGI30.6
Tackles
Kurt33.1
SGI343.1
Tries
Kurt0.3
SGI5.2
Try Assists
Kurt0.1
SGI3.8
Line Breaks
Kurt0.3
SGI6.0
Offloads
Kurt0.8
SGI8.5
Post Contact Metres
Kurt34.3
SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Fantasy Points

681.7per game · league avg 645.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At WIN Stadium29.0(2)-9.9
Everywhere else38.9(112)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)29.5(6)-9.8
Dry games39.3(108)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.