P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Kurt Capewell
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.1
L5
1.2
L10
1.1
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1SYDMar 061GLDApr 181DOLApr 250PARMay 021BRIMay 171DOLJun 270SGIJul 184CBYJul 25?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Kurt81.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Kurt1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Kurt33.1
NQL338.9
Tries
Kurt0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Kurt0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Kurt0.3
NQL5.8
Offloads
Kurt0.8
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Kurt34.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.3(4)+0.6
Everywhere else1.7(110)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.3(6)+0.6
Dry games1.7(108)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.