Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

James Fisher-Harris

Penrith Panthers · @ MEL

47.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

47.9

47.4

L10

46.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamesvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

145.9Run Metres1701.7

1.3Tackle Breaks33.0

31.7Tackles338.8

0.1Tries4.4

0.1Try Assists3.6

0.1Line Breaks6.3

0.7Offloads9.9

55.3Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

James145.9

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

James1.3

MEL33.0

Tackles

James31.7

MEL338.8

Tries

James0.1

MEL4.4

Try Assists

James0.1

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

James0.1

MEL6.3

Offloads

James0.7

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

James55.3

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park29.0(3)-18.1

Everywhere else47.1(124)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)47.3(7)+0.7

Dry games46.6(120)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.