P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Jackson Ford
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
160.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
160.8
L5
118.0
L10
153.1
High
239
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
218SYDMar 06154CBRMar 13238NEWMar 21110WSTMar 27143CROApr 05175MELApr 11239GLDApr 18207DOLApr 25177PARMay 02122BRIMay 17171SGIMay 23135PENMay 31108CROJun 1354NQLJun 21?NQLJul 30160.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jackson160.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Jackson2.0
NQL36.2
Tackles
Jackson41.1
NQL338.9
Tries
Jackson0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Jackson0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Jackson0.4
NQL5.8
Offloads
Jackson0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Jackson66.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium186.0(1)+82.6
Everywhere else103.4(98)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)87.4(8)-18.4
Dry games105.8(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.