P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Jackson Ford
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
2.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.0
L5
1.2
L10
1.8
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2SYDMar 065CBRMar 132NEWMar 211WSTMar 271CROApr 053MELApr 115GLDApr 181DOLApr 252PARMay 020BRIMay 170SGIMay 233PENMay 311CROJun 132NQLJun 21?NQLJul 302.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Jackson160.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Jackson2.0
NQL36.2
Tackles
Jackson41.1
NQL338.9
Tries
Jackson0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Jackson0.0
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Jackson0.4
NQL5.8
Offloads
Jackson0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Jackson66.4
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.0(1)-1.8
Everywhere else1.8(98)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(8)-0.3
Dry games1.8(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.