Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WAR

Jackson Ford

New Zealand Warriors · @ SGI

41.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

57% (8/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

41.1

38.8

L10

42.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0mm (5%)🌬 12.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jacksonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

160.8Run Metres1917.7

2.0Tackle Breaks30.6

41.1Tackles343.1

0.3Tries5.2

0.0Try Assists3.8

0.4Line Breaks6.0

0.7Offloads8.5

66.4Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Jackson160.8

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Jackson2.0

SGI30.6

Tackles

Jackson41.1

SGI343.1

Tries

Jackson0.3

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Jackson0.0

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Jackson0.4

SGI6.0

Offloads

Jackson0.7

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Jackson66.4

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Tackles

343.1per game · league avg 345.6

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At WIN Stadium19.2(5)-14.8

Everywhere else34.0(94)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)40.5(8)+7.9

Dry games32.6(91)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.