Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WAR

Jackson Ford

New Zealand Warriors · @ WST

0.5 TO —U —

Hit rate

29% (4/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.3

0.0

L10

0.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 19.5°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jacksonvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

160.8Run Metres1749.4

2.0Tackle Breaks33.3

41.1Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.4Line Breaks6.6

0.7Offloads9.1

66.4Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jackson160.8

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jackson2.0

WST33.3

Tackles

Jackson41.1

WST339.1

Tries

Jackson0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jackson0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jackson0.4

WST6.6

Offloads

Jackson0.7

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jackson66.4

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tries

5.3per game · league avg 4.1

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tries

At CommBank Stadium0.3(7)+0.1

Everywhere else0.1(92)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tries

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.2

Dry games0.2(91)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.