Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

WAR

Leka Halasima

New Zealand Warriors · @ BRI

8.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

8.4

6.4

L10

7.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 13.5°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lekavs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

73.7Run Metres1842.7

2.8Tackle Breaks31.7

20.4Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.3Line Breaks4.7

0.2Offloads10.1

26.9Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Leka73.7

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Leka2.8

BRI31.7

Tackles

Leka20.4

BRI323.2

Tries

Leka0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Leka0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Leka0.3

BRI4.7

Offloads

Leka0.2

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Leka26.9

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium12.3(4)+4.4

Everywhere else7.8(40)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(2)-0.2

Dry games8.2(42)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.