P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Marata Niukore
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
20.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
20.6
L5
17.6
L10
20.6
High
44
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
44NEWMar 2120WSTMar 2717CROApr 0537MELApr 110GLDApr 1811PENMay 3118CROJun 1329NQLJun 2115DOLJun 2715WSTJul 10?NQLJul 3020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Marata41.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Marata0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Marata17.0
NQL338.9
Tries
Marata0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Marata0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Marata0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Marata0.0
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Marata17.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium36.7(3)+4.5
Everywhere else32.2(108)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)34.2(6)+2.0
Dry games32.2(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.