P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Marata Niukore
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
17.5 PCMO —U —
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
17.7
L5
18.6
L10
17.7
High
44
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
44NEWMar 2112WSTMar 2710CROApr 0518MELApr 110GLDApr 1821PENMay 3115CROJun 1330NQLJun 2110DOLJun 2717WSTJul 10?NQLJul 3017.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Marata41.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Marata0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Marata17.0
NQL338.9
Tries
Marata0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Marata0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Marata0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Marata0.0
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Marata17.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Post Contact Metres

610.3per game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Post Contact Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium35.7(3)+2.0
Everywhere else33.7(108)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)40.5(6)+7.2
Dry games33.3(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.