P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Marata Niukore
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
0.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.0
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1NEWMar 210WSTMar 271CROApr 052MELApr 110GLDApr 180PENMay 310CROJun 130NQLJun 210DOLJun 270WSTJul 10?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Marata41.8
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Marata0.4
NQL36.2
Tackles
Marata17.0
NQL338.9
Tries
Marata0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Marata0.1
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Marata0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Marata0.0
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Marata17.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.0(3)+0.6
Everywhere else1.4(108)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.8(6)+0.4
Dry games1.4(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.