P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Te Maire Martin
New Zealand Warriors · @ NQL
2.5 TBO U
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.8
L5
2.8
L10
2.8
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1BRIMay 174SGIMay 232PENMay 314CROJun 134NQLJun 214DOLJun 273WSTJul 102SGIJul 181CBYJul 25?NQLJul 302.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Te87.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Te2.8
NQL36.2
Tackles
Te23.0
NQL338.9
Tries
Te0.4
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Te0.9
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Te0.6
NQL5.8
Offloads
Te1.0
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Te16.6
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.7(3)-0.7
Everywhere else1.3(65)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(7)-0.8
Dry games1.4(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.