Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Wil Dawson

North Melbourne · @ HAW

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

50% (3/6)

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Avg

0.8

0.4

L10

0.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Wilvs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

5.3Disposals355.0

2.7Kicks205.1

1.5Marks81.7

2.2Tackles60.8

0.3Clearances34.2

1.3Inside 50s51.3

1.8Contested Poss.127.8

0.0Goals12.3

Disposals

Wil5.3

HAW355.0

Kicks

Wil2.7

HAW205.1

Marks

Wil1.5

HAW81.7

Tackles

Wil2.2

HAW60.8

Clearances

Wil0.3

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Wil1.3

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Wil1.8

HAW127.8

Goals

Wil0.0

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park0.0(1)-0.7

Everywhere else0.7(13)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-0.2

Dry games0.7(12)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.