Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Dylan Edwards

Penrith Panthers · @ MEL

6.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

6.1

5.6

L10

5.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL

Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dylanvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

217.1Run Metres1701.7

4.9Tackle Breaks33.0

6.1Tackles338.8

0.6Tries4.4

0.5Try Assists3.6

0.5Line Breaks6.3

0.4Offloads9.9

56.6Post Contact Metres571.8

Run Metres

Dylan217.1

MEL1701.7

Tackle Breaks

Dylan4.9

MEL33.0

Tackles

Dylan6.1

MEL338.8

Tries

Dylan0.6

MEL4.4

Try Assists

Dylan0.5

MEL3.6

Line Breaks

Dylan0.5

MEL6.3

Offloads

Dylan0.4

MEL9.9

Post Contact Metres

Dylan56.6

MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6

#14 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park6.0(1)+1.0

Everywhere else5.0(128)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.5(8)+0.6

Dry games4.9(121)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.