Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Paul Alamoti

Penrith Panthers · @ BRI

142.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

142.4

143.4

L10

155.7

High

225

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Paulvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

142.4Run Metres1842.7

4.2Tackle Breaks31.7

12.7Tackles323.2

0.2Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.5Line Breaks4.7

1.2Offloads10.1

41.9Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Paul142.4

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Paul4.2

BRI31.7

Tackles

Paul12.7

BRI323.2

Tries

Paul0.2

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Paul0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Paul0.5

BRI4.7

Offloads

Paul1.2

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Paul41.9

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Run Metres

1842.7per game · league avg 1690.5

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Suncorp Stadium143.0(8)+14.6

Everywhere else128.4(69)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)154.0(5)+25.8

Dry games128.3(72)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.