P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Paul Alamoti
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
14.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.3
L5
14.0
L10
15.5
High
22
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8BRIMar 0614CROMar 1412SYDMar 209PARMar 2810MELApr 038CBYApr 0922DOLApr 17☂19NEWApr 2618MANMay 0312CBRMay 1015SGIMay 1721WARMay 3119WSTJun 0717GLDJun 209NQLJun 2718SOUJul 0311BRIJul 16☂15PARJul 23?MELJul 3114.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 6.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Paul142.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Paul4.2
MEL33.0
Tackles
Paul12.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Paul0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Paul0.2
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Paul0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Paul1.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Paul41.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park17.5(2)+3.8
Everywhere else13.7(75)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)15.2(5)+1.5
Dry games13.7(72)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.