Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Paul Alamoti

Penrith Panthers · @ WST

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

14.3

14.0

L10

15.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Paulvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

142.4Run Metres1749.4

4.2Tackle Breaks33.3

12.7Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.2Try Assists4.6

0.5Line Breaks6.6

1.2Offloads9.1

41.9Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Paul142.4

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Paul4.2

WST33.3

Tackles

Paul12.7

WST339.1

Tries

Paul0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Paul0.2

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Paul0.5

WST6.6

Offloads

Paul1.2

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Paul41.9

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium12.3(17)-1.9

Everywhere else14.2(60)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)15.2(5)+1.5

Dry games13.7(72)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.