P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Paul Alamoti
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
40.5 FPO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
40.9
L5
44.8
L10
44.1
High
76
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
25BRIMar 0631CROMar 1438SYDMar 2042PARMar 2839MELApr 0321CBYApr 0925DOLApr 1775NEWApr 2626MANMay 0324CBRMay 1046SGIMay 1757WARMay 3164WSTJun 0751GLDJun 2017NQLJun 2776SOUJul 0333BRIJul 1647PARJul 23?MELJul 3140.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Paul142.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Paul4.2
MEL33.0
Tackles
Paul12.7
MEL338.8
Tries
Paul0.2
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Paul0.2
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Paul0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Paul1.2
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Paul41.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park54.0(2)+18.0
Everywhere else36.0(75)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)42.2(5)+6.2
Dry games36.0(72)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.