P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Paul Alamoti
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
0.5 LBAO —U —
Hit rate
28% (5/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.3
L5
0.6
L10
0.5
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 060CROMar 140SYDMar 200PARMar 280MELApr 030CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂1NEWApr 260MANMay 030CBRMay 101SGIMay 170WARMay 311WSTJun 070GLDJun 200NQLJun 272SOUJul 031BRIJul 16☂0PARJul 23?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Paul142.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Paul4.2
NQL36.2
Tackles
Paul12.7
NQL338.9
Tries
Paul0.2
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Paul0.2
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Paul0.5
NQL5.8
Offloads
Paul1.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Paul41.9
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Line Break Assists

4.5per game · league avg 3.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Break Assists

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.0(3)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(74)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(5)+0.2
Dry games0.2(72)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.