Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Paul Alamoti

Penrith Panthers · @ GLD

12.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.7

13.4

L10

12.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.2°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Paulvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

142.4Run Metres1822.7

4.2Tackle Breaks33.8

12.7Tackles340.9

0.2Tries4.6

0.2Try Assists3.9

0.5Line Breaks4.8

1.2Offloads11.1

41.9Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Paul142.4

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Paul4.2

GLD33.8

Tackles

Paul12.7

GLD340.9

Tries

Paul0.2

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Paul0.2

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Paul0.5

GLD4.8

Offloads

Paul1.2

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Paul41.9

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Tackles

340.9per game · league avg 345.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Cbus Super Stadium10.0(2)-0.6

Everywhere else10.6(75)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)10.4(5)-0.2

Dry games10.6(72)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.