P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Casey McLean
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
138.5 RMO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
138.4
L5
126.0
L10
137.1
High
204
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
113BRIMar 06144CROMar 14105SYDMar 20204PARMar 28184MELApr 03138CBYApr 09159NEWApr 26120MANMay 03140CBRMay 10153SGIMay 17158WARMay 31116WSTJun 0791BRIJul 16112PARJul 23?NQLJul 30138.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Casey138.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Casey3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Casey14.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Casey0.5
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Casey0.6
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Casey0.5
NQL5.8
Offloads
Casey0.6
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Casey44.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium(0)
Everywhere else113.3(50)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)93.0(3)-21.6
Dry games114.6(47)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.