P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Casey McLean
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
14.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.7
L5
15.0
L10
14.9
High
18
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11BRIMar 0617CROMar 1413SYDMar 2016PARMar 2817MELApr 0313CBYApr 0917NEWApr 2614MANMay 0313CBRMay 1016SGIMay 1718WARMay 3116WSTJun 0710BRIJul 16☂15PARJul 23?MELJul 3114.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Casey138.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Casey3.1
MEL33.0
Tackles
Casey14.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Casey0.5
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Casey0.6
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Casey0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Casey0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Casey44.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park12.0(1)
Everywhere else12.0(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.7(3)-1.5
Dry games12.1(47)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.