P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Casey McLean
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
39.5 FPO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
39.7
L5
35.6
L10
39.2
High
71
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
21BRIMar 0644CROMar 1428SYDMar 2071PARMar 2855MELApr 0338CBYApr 0950NEWApr 2633MANMay 0338CBRMay 1045SGIMay 1755WARMay 3130WSTJun 072BRIJul 1646PARJul 23?MELJul 3139.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Casey138.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Casey3.1
MEL33.0
Tackles
Casey14.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Casey0.5
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Casey0.6
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Casey0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Casey0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Casey44.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park45.0(1)+12.7
Everywhere else32.3(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)20.0(3)-13.4
Dry games33.4(47)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.