Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Casey McLean

Penrith Panthers · @ WST

3.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.1

2.6

L10

3.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Caseyvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

138.4Run Metres1749.4

3.1Tackle Breaks33.3

14.3Tackles339.1

0.5Tries5.3

0.6Try Assists4.6

0.5Line Breaks6.6

0.6Offloads9.1

44.3Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Casey138.4

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Casey3.1

WST33.3

Tackles

Casey14.3

WST339.1

Tries

Casey0.5

WST5.3

Try Assists

Casey0.6

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Casey0.5

WST6.6

Offloads

Casey0.6

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Casey44.3

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackle Breaks

33.3per game · league avg 32.6

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At CommBank Stadium2.7(18)+0.5

Everywhere else2.3(32)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(3)-1.2

Dry games2.5(47)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.