P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Casey McLean
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
14.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.3
L5
15.4
L10
14.8
High
28
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6BRIMar 0616CROMar 1414SYDMar 2016PARMar 2812MELApr 0313CBYApr 0917NEWApr 2614MANMay 0315CBRMay 1018SGIMay 1712WARMay 319WSTJun 0710BRIJul 16☂28PARJul 23?MELJul 3114.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Casey138.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Casey3.1
MEL33.0
Tackles
Casey14.3
MEL338.8
Tries
Casey0.5
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Casey0.6
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Casey0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Casey0.6
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Casey44.3
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park16.0(1)+4.4
Everywhere else11.6(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)13.3(3)+1.7
Dry games11.6(47)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.