Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Casey McLean

Penrith Panthers · @ WST

14.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

14.3

15.4

L10

14.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Caseyvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

138.4Run Metres1749.4

3.1Tackle Breaks33.3

14.3Tackles339.1

0.5Tries5.3

0.6Try Assists4.6

0.5Line Breaks6.6

0.6Offloads9.1

44.3Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Casey138.4

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Casey3.1

WST33.3

Tackles

Casey14.3

WST339.1

Tries

Casey0.5

WST5.3

Try Assists

Casey0.6

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Casey0.5

WST6.6

Offloads

Casey0.6

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Casey44.3

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Tackles

339.1per game · league avg 345.6

#12 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At CommBank Stadium13.3(18)+2.5

Everywhere else10.8(32)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)13.3(3)+1.7

Dry games11.6(47)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.