P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Casey McLean
Penrith Panthers · @ NQL
0.5 TAO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.6
L5
0.4
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 061CROMar 141SYDMar 202PARMar 281MELApr 031CBYApr 090NEWApr 260MANMay 030CBRMay 101SGIMay 170WARMay 311WSTJun 070BRIJul 160PARJul 23?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Casey138.4
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Casey3.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Casey14.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Casey0.5
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Casey0.6
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Casey0.5
NQL5.8
Offloads
Casey0.6
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Casey44.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Try Assists

3.8per game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Try Assists

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium(0)
Everywhere else0.4(50)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)+0.3
Dry games0.4(47)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.