Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

PEN

Brian To'o

Penrith Panthers · @ BRI

40.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

40.8

53.4

L10

47.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Brianvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

192.6Run Metres1842.7

4.6Tackle Breaks31.7

4.9Tackles323.2

0.7Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.9Line Breaks4.7

0.4Offloads10.1

65.7Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Brian192.6

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Brian4.6

BRI31.7

Tackles

Brian4.9

BRI323.2

Tries

Brian0.7

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Brian0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Brian0.9

BRI4.7

Offloads

Brian0.4

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Brian65.7

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium45.4(14)-1.8

Everywhere else47.2(104)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)38.3(8)-9.4

Dry games47.6(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.