P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Brian To'o
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
4.5 TBO U
Hit rate
44% (7/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.6
L5
5.8
L10
4.9
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2BRIMar 069CROMar 143SYDMar 202PARMar 286MELApr 033CBYApr 091DOLApr 178NEWApr 266MANMay 034CBRMay 101SGIMay 177WSTJun 074NQLJun 276SOUJul 034BRIJul 168PARJul 23?MELJul 314.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brian192.6
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Brian4.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Brian4.9
MEL338.8
Tries
Brian0.7
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Brian0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Brian0.9
MEL6.3
Offloads
Brian0.4
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Brian65.7
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackle Breaks

33.0per game · league avg 32.6
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At AAMI Park5.5(2)+0.1
Everywhere else5.4(116)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.4(8)-1.1
Dry games5.5(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.