P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Brian To'o
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
4.5 TKO U
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.9
L5
6.0
L10
5.8
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4BRIMar 064CROMar 147SYDMar 204PARMar 280MELApr 032CBYApr 093DOLApr 177NEWApr 267MANMay 037CBRMay 104SGIMay 175WSTJun 071NQLJun 279SOUJul 0310BRIJul 165PARJul 23?MELJul 314.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brian192.6
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Brian4.6
MEL33.0
Tackles
Brian4.9
MEL338.8
Tries
Brian0.7
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Brian0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Brian0.9
MEL6.3
Offloads
Brian0.4
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Brian65.7
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park6.5(2)+1.5
Everywhere else5.0(116)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.3(8)+0.3
Dry games5.0(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.